Información sobre Ciencia y Análisis de Datos
Information on Data Science and Analytics
Informações sobre Ciência e Análise de Dados
¿Quieres ver lo complejo de forma fácil?
Do you want to see the complex in an easy way?
Quer ver o complexo de uma forma fácil?
✓ Data Science and Analysis in context.
✓ Data Visualization.
✓ Use of descriptive and predictive Artificial Intelligence tools.
✓ Probability and Statistics.
✓ Econometrics and Microeconomics Modeling.
✓ Use of different technologies and platforms.
You are an entrepreneur and want to have your website, blog, and follow a strategy for control, marketing, and goal planning. It is very easy to start at a super low cost. And you can do everything yourself. Here are some free tips.
Ventajas de tener una página web
Advantages of having a website
Vantagens de ter um site
Ownership and Control |
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A website is completely yours, which means you have total control over its content, design, and functionality. |
Reach and Visibility |
Websites allow you to reach a broader audience since they are accessible through search engines like Google. |
Sales Capacity |
Websites are ideal for making direct transactions, providing a secure space for e-commerce. |
Websites provide detailed metrics about traffic and user behavior. |
Availability |
A website is always available, allowing customers to access information or make purchases at any time. |
Servicios de Ciencia y Análisis de Datos.
Data Science and Analytics Services.
Serviços de Ciência e Análise de Dados.
If you're interested in something custom, I have plans for your business to scale over time. The first report is completely free so you can evaluate what best suits your interests!
Algunas cosas que podemos hacer juntos.
Some things we can do together.
Algumas coisas que podemos fazer juntos.
Plan A
- Database.
- Development.
- Data Engineering.
- Machine Learning.
- Deep Learning.
- Automation.
- AI Models.
- Sentiment Analysis.
- Recommendation System.
- Insights and KPIs.
- Business Intelligence.
Plan B
- Design, Marketing and Resource Management.
- Cooperation with technical and professional areas.
- Projects in productive and agricultural sectors.
Plan C
- Web, blog, and app design and maintenance.
Macroeconomía.
Macroeconomics.
Macroeconomia.
Macroeconomics is crucial for business owners and entrepreneurs as it influences aggregate demand, employment, and investment opportunities. A favorable macroeconomic environment, such as GDP growth and high employment rates, can facilitate the creation of new businesses and maximize profits. Additionally, understanding factors like inflation and interest rates allows entrepreneurs to make informed decisions about pricing and costs, directly impacting their profitability and sustainability.
Modelo de Econometría ARIMA.
ARIMA Econometrics Model.
Argentina is in a strong "STALLED" recession as of September 20, 2024.
There are no signs of economic growth for this year unless we have a surge of investment, which is not happening because in a country with a depressed internal market like Argentina, there is no significant investment from either the state or private sectors. CAME: Year-on-year variation in retail sales for SMEs: -10.5% August 2024. IPIP: Year-on-year variation in manufacturing production for SMEs: -17.8% July 2024. This statistical summary describes the result of fitting an ARIMA(2, 1, 2) model to GDP growth data (%).
Conclusion:
Although the ARIMA(2, 1, 2) model fits the data well and the residuals appear to be stationary (according to the ADF test), the coefficients of the AR and MA terms are not significant. This may suggest that a simpler model or additional adjustments could improve the fit. Diagnostic tests (Ljung-Box, Jarque-Bera, Heteroskedasticity) do not reveal significant issues in the residuals, which is a good indicator that the model captures the structure of the time series well. If the ARIMA model does not adequately explain the variability of the data, you may consider simpler models or explore additional adjustments.
For seasonality to break in a time series, fundamental changes must occur that alter the repetitive and predictable pattern of the series over time. Some reasons that can break negative seasonality include:
- Structural or regime changes.
- Exogenous or unexpected events.
- Changes in monetary or fiscal policy.
- Changes in consumer behavior.
- Market or industry innovations.
- Climate changes.
- Data interventions or manipulations.
Modelo de Econometria ARIMA.
Modelo de Econometría ARIMA para USA.
ARIMA Econometrics Model for the USA.
We can simplify a prediction from the model. It can be done only if we take into account the context. It gives us growth for the next quarter. Now factors that can influence.
- Government Policies: Changes in fiscal or monetary policies can stimulate growth.
- Business Investment: An increase in corporate investment may contribute to higher GDP.
- Household Consumption: An increase in household consumption can also drive growth.
- Conditions such as interest rates, inflation, employment levels, and global events that could affect GDP.